In this scenario, the managers are asking the following question: “Should we accept a group booking of 20 rooms for one night at $200 each or keep these rooms available for regular corporate and business guests at a nightly rate of $300?”
For the group booking, the hotel expects room revenue of $4,000 (20 x $200) plus an expected $2,000 in revenue from other spending (food and beverage, meeting room rental, etc.). That factors in operating costs and puts expected positive revenue on those dates at $6,000.
If the hotel turns away the group booking, they can reasonably expect to fill 16 of those rooms based on their average occupancy rate of 80%. They can expect a nightly room revenue of $4,800 (16 x $300) plus an additional expected $1600 in other spending revenue (based on their average of $100 per corporate/business guests). So they could reasonably expect positive revenue of $6,400 if they don’t accept the group booking.
In this calculation:
Positive Revenue on Non-Constrained Dates = $6,000
Revenue Displaced on Identified Dates = $6,400
Expected Revenue If Group Booking Accepted = $6,000 - $6,400 = $-400
So, in this scenario, accepting the group booking would result in a net loss of $400 for the hotel.